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US Treasury Bond

30-year Yield Since 1999


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Posted on 2017/01/29.


10-year Treasury Rate and S&P 500


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Posted on 2016/12/15.


Yield on 10-year Treasury Bond Since 1790 with Annotation


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Posted on 2016/07/08.


10-year Treasury Yield


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Posted on 2016/06/06.


Record low yield with record short position by leveraged funds


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Posted on 2015/01/16.


Making New Recent Higher High


2011 Daily

Weekly from 2009

Monthly from 1978


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US Long Term Treasury Rate 1871-2011

Posted on 2012/01/11.

U.S. Stocks

Real S&P 500 Index with Time to Recover from Market Peaks


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Posted on 2017/01/16.


Important Dow Milestones


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Posted on 2017/01/06.


2016 Stock Surprises, Sentiment Swings, & Sector Surges


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Posted on 2016/12/27.


Number of Stocks Listed in US Stock Exchanges


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Posted on 2016/09/02.


Adjusted Earnings per Share and Revenue of S&P 500 Companies


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Posted on 2016/08/28.


Total Banking Reserve, Fed’s Balance Sheet and S&P 500

Posted on 2016/05/15.


Consumer Staples Forward P/E


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Energy Sector Forward P/E


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Posted on 2016/04/30.


Percentage of Adults Invested in the Stock Market

Posted on 2016/04/21.


S&P 500 Price Index Since 1997


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Posted on 2016/04/06.


S&P 500 Sector-level Forward 12-month P/E Ratios


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S&P Energy Sector Forward P/E


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Posted on 2016/03/25.


S&P 500 1st Week of Year


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DOW Worst 1st Week of Year Ever


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History of China Bubbles and The S&P 500 Index


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Posted on 2016/01/08.


How The Fed Singlehandedly Doubled The Stock Market Since 1997


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By excluding 294 “day of + day before” Fed meeting trading days (147 x 2 days excluded) out of over 4,500 total trading days since Jun-1997, the drop is ~50%. Basically, excluding just 6% of Fed-influenced days cuts the S&P 500 price in half.

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DOW during the Depression Era


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Posted on 2015/12/07.


Onshore Oil Producer’s Debt Service As A Share of Operating Cash Flow


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Divergence of Energy Credit and Energy Stock


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Posted on 2015/11/29.


Stock Buybacks Are Mainly Funded by Debt


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Posted on 2015/11/13.


How Companies Used their Cash and Financial Assets


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Posted on 2015/11/02.


S&P 500 Stock Buybacks Since 1999

Posted on 2014/9/26


Interest Rate, Stock Price and Cash Flow Since 2001


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Posted on 2015/9/9


Monthly Net Inflow into Mutual Funds Since 2012


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Posted on 8/30/2015


Margin Debt and Net Credit Balance Since January 1980


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Posted on 8/26/2015


Real Margin Debt as % of Real GDP


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Inventory-Sales Ratio vs 12-m Fwd EPS


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Cyclically Adjusted P/E (CAPE) and the S&P500


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Corporate Profits and the S&P500


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NYSE Margin Debt and the S&P500


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NYSE Investor Credit and the S&P500


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Divergence of DOW Industrial and Transport


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MSCI USA Vs MSCI World ex USA Since 1995

U.S. stocks are more expensive than the rest of the world.